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Global FX Insights

BOJ Holds, US Politics Front and Centre

Next 24 hours: FX Getting Heavy Dose of Trump Volatility

Today’s report: BOJ Holds, US Politics Front and Centre

The market continues to be consumed with developments out from the Trump administration, which are having a negative impact on the US Dollar in 2017 and also starting to weigh on risk sentiment, with equity markets pulling back on the aggressive implementation of protectionist policies. European data and Canada GDP ahead.   read report

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Wake-up call

Next 24 hours: Trump Spooks Investor Appetite

Today’s report: Week of Politics, Central Bank Decisions and Data

The market has already seen a good amount of volatility in 2017 on political developments, mostly out of the Trump administration but also from the UK relating to Brexit. This week, the market will get another couple of layers of risk in the form of central bank event risk and first-tier economic data risk.   read report

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Wake-up call

Trade Deals and GDP

Today’s report: Trade Deals and GDP

Profit taking on US Dollar short positions has been the story in the latter half of the week and this has continued into early Friday trade. All of this is supportive of the idea that the US Dollar selling in early 2017 has been nothing more than a correction within a broader Dollar uptrend. USD GDP and durable goods ahead.   read report

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Wake-up call

US Dollar Still Has Fight

Next 24 hours: Currencies Retreat on Profit Taking Run

Today’s report: US Dollar Still Has Fight

Interestingly, on Wednesday, US 10-year yields traded above 2.5% and US equities pushed to fresh record levels, highlighted by Dow 20k, and yet, the Buck was unable to join the party. The market continues to be less optimistic about the USD in 2017, seemingly on fear of Trump's protectionist policies and a talking down of a strong USD.   read report

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Wake-up call

US Dollar Selling Overdone?

Next 24 hours: Dow 20k! Hooray!

Today’s report: US Dollar Selling Overdone?

Into the middle of the week, the main story continues to be the selloff in the US Dollar in reaction to President Trump's focus on protectionist policies in the early days. Still, it is early and the President has also promised fiscal stimulus and tax cuts which should not be forgotten and that are Dollar supportive.   read report

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Wake-up call

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