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LMAX Group blog - FX industry thought leadership

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  • The rise of “prime of prime” brokerage firms

    In the institutional market, credit lines or credit limits are the lifeblood that enables two parties to engage in the principal-to-principal, bilateral nature of FX trading in the OTC marketplace. When credit was easy to obtain and credit limits were generous, such as seen in the early part of this new millennium up to the global credit crisis of 2008 and 2009, large banks and their customers were both quite content to trade liberally both directly with each other and also via ECNs (the latter for those that are technologically advanced for electronic FX trading), backed by generous credit limits granted by these same banks’ prime brokerage units.

    Then came the global credit crisis, the ensuing bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers, and the near collapse of AIG and many other large banks and global financial institutions that were all thought “too big to fail.” If it were not for the government-engineered rescues of these venerable institutions, many of them would not be around to conduct their business today. What did result from this dramatic event, however, was a dramatic tightening of credit conditions around the world—gone are the generous credit lines and limits that allowed FX market participants, banks and their clients alike, to trade freely with each other.

    Although the economies of many nations around the globe have recovered a fair amount since then and a “business-as-usual” mentality has returned to Wall Street and global financial centers elsewhere, one direct consequence of the credit crisis is that the two parties entering a given bilateral dealing (e.g., an FX transaction) are now much more cognizant of the potential credit risk that each side brings to the table. This cautious approach toward credit stems from banks and clients; hence, each bank or client has potentially reduced the total number of counterparties that it is willing to deal with as well as the amount of FX exposure per transaction (with each counterparty) that it is willing to bear until the trade is settled.

    Although large banks and prime brokerage units may still grant the largest multinational corporations, asset managers, ultra-high-net-worth individuals, or hedge funds generous credit limits to do FX trades, the same cannot be said of small to midsize banks, proprietary trading firms, asset managers or hedge funds, CTAs/CPOs, or active retail traders. Our conversations with industry veterans in the FX prime brokerage community indicate that in today’s environment, FX credit limits and terms have tightened by as much as one-third from the pre-crisis days of more than five years ago.

  • 4 key fundamentals to consider when choosing an FX venue

    While FX as an asset class might be straight forward, customers that play in the FX market have different needs and requirements.

    For those corporations and traditional asset managers that view FX transactions as a byproduct of their core business (e.g., cross-border transactions), for example, overall costs associated with execution might be less of an issue; these customer segments would also view access to large size as important, leading them to trade on RFQ-based MDPs and SDPs. On the other hand, statistical arbitrage and actively trading hedge funds and HFT firms might care more about cost of execution since they deal with smaller-sized but more frequent transactions, leading them to use ECN/MFT-type execution venues.

  • Is the growth in Spot FX expected to continue?

    According to the recently published report by Aite Group ‘Global FX Market Update 2013: Increased Market Transparency, More Competition’, June 2013, the spot FX volumes will continue to grow on the back of prime-brokered clients (retail FX brokers and hedge funds/HFT firms) for the foreseeable future. Other FX products not impacted directly by regulations, such as outright forwards and FX swaps, should experience similar growth trajectory. Aite Group expects the spot FX market to reach US$2.2 trillion in daily turnover by 2016, up 35% from 2010 levels.

    The largest daily trading volume in foreign exchange has traditionally come from the FX swap part of the market, but there are clear signs that new regulations on both sides of the Atlantic— particularly related to higher margin requirements for OTC FX swaps—will temper volume growth as market participants unable to secure margin to maintain or roll FX swaps choose to let them expire or look for alternative hedges on the futures/on-exchange side of the market, something that is now being termed “the futurization of FX swaps.”

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