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FX & Crypto Insights – Institutional thought leadership

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22 January 2026
Macro relief inspires recovery
 
 
LMAX Digital performance
 
 

LMAX Digital volumes have been trending impressively higher this week. Total notional volume for Wednesday came in at $538 million, 108% above 30-day average volume.

Bitcoin volume printed $352 million, 142% above 30-day average volume. Ether volume came in at $93 million, 65% above 30-day average volume.

Looking at average position size over the past 30 days, we’re seeing average bitcoin position size at $8,432 and average position size for ether at $1,451.

Bitcoin and ETH volatility is showing signs of bottoming out after trending lower for several weeks. We’re looking at average daily ranges in bitcoin and ether of $2,437 and $125 respectively.

 
Latest industry news
 
 

Crypto has recovered over the past 24 hours on the back of an uptick in global risk sentiment, with majors and high-beta tokens alike benefiting from the improved macro backdrop.

The market welcomed a relief bid after President Trump backed off on Greenland and EU tariff threats, easing near-term geopolitical risk and supporting flows back into higher-beta assets. Volumes improved into the move, with derivatives funding stabilizing and spot demand re-emerging on dips.

From a macro perspective, for the time being, crypto is trading as a high-octane proxy for global sentiment. The softer tone in trade rhetoric, combined with a steady US rates backdrop and firmer equity futures, has encouraged a rotation back into growth and alternative assets.

The correlation with equities remains elevated, reinforcing the view that near-term crypto direction will be dictated as much by Washington and central banks as by crypto-native catalysts.

Technically, the bounce in both bitcoin and ETH is unfolding from rising trend-line support drawn off the November lows, adding weight to the recovery narrative.

Momentum indicators have turned up from neutral territory, and spot flows suggest real-money interest rather than purely leveraged chasing. That said, the market is still in validation mode after last week’s pullback.

For confirmation that this is more than just a relief rally, bitcoin needs to reclaim and hold above last week’s high, while ETH must push through the $3,500 area.

A clean break would open the door for a renewed challenge of the cycle highs, while failure to do so would keep the market vulnerable to another bout of range trading.

 
 
LMAX Digital metrics
Price performance
last 30 days avg. vs USD (%)
Total volumes
last 30 days ($bn)
BTCUSD volumes
last 30 days ($bn)
BTCUSD avg. trade size
last 30 days ($k)
ETHUSD avg. trade size
last 30 days ($k)
Average daily range
BTCUSD
$2,437
ETHUSD
$125
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