Daily FX Market Commentary

Andy Harrison

Good morning,

 

LMAX Close Wellington open

USDJPY 105.174 105.13-18 | EURUSD 1.37464 1.3747-52 | EURJPY 144.564 144.46-70 | AUDUSD 0.88687 0.8864-75 | NZDUSD 0.81519 0.8145-60 | USDCAD 1.0707 1.0693-1.0710 | EURCHF 1.22554 1.2253-58 | USDCHF 0.89172 0.8887-0.8938 | GBPUSD 1.64822 1.6451-1.6520 | EURGBP 0.8340 0.8345-55 |

 

Interbank Ranges as of 6am London time

Highs    Lows

USD/JPY               105.415 | 105.14

EUR/USD             1.3770 | 1.37285

EUR/JPY               145.005 | 144.555

AUD/USD            0.8866 | 0.8834

NZD/USD             0.8177 | 0.8119

USD/CAD             1.0728 | 1.0693

EUR/CHF              1.2265 | 1.2253

USD/CHF             0.8931 | 0.8900

GBP/USD             1.6500 | 1.6468

EUR/GBP             0.83505 | 0.83365

 

Overnight News

GBP: UK government could sell Lloyds stake in 2014 Telegraph

 

For today

  • EUR: With an accumulation of offers built up to the 1.3800 levels and the holiday period still upon us the market struggled from a high opening around the 1.3755 level peaking early in the session just below 1.3770 and then drifting for the remainder of the session to trade around the 1.3740 levels with light bids down to the 1.3700 level. With light volume going through the market remains quiet one would suspect into the New Year.
  • GBP: Cable opened close to its closing level and traded from the 1.6480 levels to touch the 1.6500 level in early trading however, the move was exaggerated by the lack of depth to the market during the holiday period, and we remain for the moment around those opening levels in a lacklustre market.
  • JPY: The USDJPY opened around the 105.15/20 levels and was quickly bid in early trading moving to above the 105.35 levels before touching above the 105.40 levels into the Tokyo session however, with limited interest to the 105.70 level any stops above that level seem to be vulnerable and there is very little talk this time of option barriers to stand in the way, but this is vague at best. Downside sees only light mixture for a good big figure and is also weak for the moment.
  • AUD: The market slowly weakened over the early part of the session with AUDJPY selling making an early appearance in the market, trading down from the 0.8870 level the Oz eventually found some support in the mid 0.8830’s and has since pushed back above the 0.8855 levels and holds in that area with little showing to the topside and only light bids falling to the 88 cent level the market seems devoid of players for the most part at the moment.

 

Today’s data

Actual = A | Consensus = C | Previous = P | Revised = R All timings GMT

15:00     USD       Pending Home Sales M/M Nov C 1.00% | P -0.60%

 

Friday’s premiership results

Actual = A | Consensus = C | Previous = P | Revised = R All timings GMT

JPY         Nomura/JMMA Manufacturing PMI Dec A 55.2 | P 55.1

JPY         Household Spending Y/Y Nov A 0.20% | C 1.90% | P 0.90%

JPY         Unemployment Rate Nov A 4.00% | C 3.90% | P 4.00%

JPY         National CPI Core Y/Y Nov A 1.20% | C 1.10% | P 0.90%

JPY         Tokyo CPI Core Y/Y Dec A 0.70% | C 0.70% | P 0.60%

JPY         Industrial Production M/M Nov (P) A 0.10% | C 0.60% | P 0.50%

JPY         Retail Trade Y/Y Nov A 4.00% | C 2.90% | P 2.30% | R 2.40%

JPY         Labour Cash Earnings Y/Y Nov A 0.50% | C 0.40% | P 0.10% | R -0.10%

USD       Crude Oil Inventories A -4.4M | C -2.65M | P -2.9M

 

Stay lucky

Andy

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