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Markets to digest the US inflation sequel
Markets enter the North American session with the dollar subdued and US equity futures modestly higher, as softer Fed expectations and falling oil prices support sentiment ahead of US PPI, jobless claims and Fed commentary.
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Hormuz headlines set the tone before CPI
Markets remain cautious ahead of US CPI, with flat equity futures, rangebound FX and elevated commodities as investors weigh the RBA’s hawkish hold against tentative progress on reopening the Strait of Hormuz.
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Dollar steadies as markets await inflation verdict
Global markets carry a cautiously constructive tone into North American trade as weak US employment data weighs on Fed rate-hike expectations, while uncertainty over Hormuz keeps oil supported and investors focused on this week’s US inflation releases.
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The path higher now runs through the data
Global markets head into the North American session with US equity futures extending gains, the dollar easing ahead of key US labor market data, and commodities driven by evolving Middle East developments as investors look for fresh catalysts following Tuesday’s broad-based risk rally.
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Waiting on the Fed, watching the Middle East
Markets head into the North American session cautiously, with a firm US dollar and subdued risk appetite as investors await the Federal Reserve while continuing to monitor Middle East developments and their implications for global markets.
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A softer dollar, a steadier mood
Risk sentiment has improved heading into the North American session as hopes for US-Iran de-escalation drive oil and Treasury yields lower, weaken the US Dollar, and lift global equities, with investors now turning their focus to a busy week of central bank decisions, major US earnings, and geopolitical developments.
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ECB pause overshadowed by the bigger macro picture
Heightened geopolitical tensions, surging oil prices, resilient US data and a steady ECB are combining to lift the US Dollar and yields while keeping pressure on global risk assets as North American trading gets underway.
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One eye on data and the other on Iran
Markets head into the North American session in a cautious mood as elevated Middle East tensions keep oil and Treasury yields supported, while investors digest resilient European data and await US ADP employment figures alongside further geopolitical developments.
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Markets steady as diplomacy tempers geopolitical fears
Markets enter the North American session in a cautiously risk-on mood as hopes for renewed US-Iran diplomacy weigh on oil prices and lift equity futures, while softer Canadian inflation and a mixed US Dollar keep attention focused on geopolitics rather than economic data.
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Middle East risk still keeping markets on edge
Markets are entering the North American session in a more cautious mood as softer US inflation data continues to temper Fed tightening expectations, but rising bond yields, persistent Middle East tensions, and elevated oil prices are preventing a broader risk rally.

