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FX & Crypto Insights – Institutional thought leadership

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  • Election jitters sink Yen, eyes on US data

    Markets head into the North American open with the yen sliding on Japan election and stimulus risks, the dollar modestly firmer, eurozone core inflation cooling, and U.S. attention shifting to ADP and ISM after the delayed jobs report heightens uncertainty around labor momentum.

  • Aussie pops on surprise RBA hike

    After some modest overnight US Dollar softness, the greenback has edged back slightly above last night’s levels, while the standout mover has been the Australian Dollar following a surprise hike from the Reserve Bank of Australia.

  • Fed fears fade, data week begins

    Markets open North America with the dollar slightly softer as Fed independence concerns ease after Warsh’s appointment, attention shifts to a busy U.S. data week led by ISM and Friday’s payrolls, and cross-asset moves reflect cautious positioning amid lingering labor risks, steady inflation expectations, and modest FX and commodity adjustments.

  • Macro crosscurrents build ahead of the FOMC

    Markets head into the North American open navigating renewed FX volatility, resurfacing trade tensions, cautious central bank messaging, and a growing focus on incoming US data as the FOMC decision draws closer.

  • Dollar sinks, gold shines

    Markets head into the North American open in a risk-off mood as renewed Japan intervention fears and US political uncertainty drive broad dollar weakness, lift gold, and leave investors focused on incoming data and central bank signals for direction.

  • Risk mood improves as Trump softens stance

    Overall, the tone is one of improving global risk sentiment, driven by easing geopolitical tensions, strong Australian data lifting rate expectations, and a busy macro calendar that could further shape market direction into the North American open.

  • Macro storm clouds linger

    Global markets are cautiously stabilizing after yesterday’s selloff, but sentiment remains fragile as investors balance tentative risk recovery against persistent political uncertainty, renewed Trump rhetoric, and an unresolved backdrop of global macro stress.

  • Sell America trade resurfaces

    Global markets head into the North American open with the dollar under pressure and risk sentiment fragile.

  • Holiday-thinned markets, Trump tariffs in focus

    With US markets closed for the MLK holiday, trade has been relatively subdued, though headlines over the weekend added a political edge after President Trump threatened 10% tariffs from February 1 on imports from several European countries over their opposition to his plans to seize Greenland.

  • Politics in the driver’s seat

    The dollar is a little stronger into North America as political headlines continue to drive markets, with President Trump easing pressure on the Fed and Iran and overall data pointing to steady but unspectacular global growth.

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