11 November 2024
$100k bitcoin before the year is out?
LMAX Digital performance

Total notional volume from last Monday through Friday came in at $3.8 billion, 91% higher than a week earlier.

Breaking it down per coin, bitcoin volume came in at $2.6 billion, 91% higher than the previous week. Ether volume came in at $731 million, 129% higher than the week earlier.

Total notional volume over the past 30 days comes in at $11.1 billion.

Looking at average position size over the past 30 days, we’re seeing average bitcoin position size at $9,256 and average position size for ether at $3,003.

Market volatility has been trending back up since bottoming out in October. We’re looking at average daily ranges in bitcoin and ether of $2,540 and $134 respectively.

Latest industry news

Bitcoin just put in its first weekly close above $80,000 to solidify the impressive breakout in the previous week to a fresh record high beyond the previous record high from March.

As per our technical insights, the bullish breakout follows a consolidation range of approximately $25,000, which suggests the current upside extension will want to extend by the same amount, putting it directly on course to test the much talked about psychological barrier at $100,000.

Seasonality trends are on bitcoin’s side as well. If we look at bitcoin Q4 performance from 2013 to present, Q4 returns have exceeded 80%. We’re already up around 30% in Q4. If bitcoin has any plans of repeating historical Q4 performance, it will indeed be testing $100,000 before the year is out.

Another encouraging sign has been performance in ETH. ETH had been underperforming all year despite bitcoin already breaking out to a fresh record high in March.

But last week, ETH finally managed to push through important resistance just over $2,800, setting the stage for its own bullish breakout and possible move to retest the record high from 2021 at $4,870.

Fundamentally, the US election result has been a formidable positive catalyst. The Trump campaign was exceptionally warm on the topic of cryptocurrency and the market believes the incoming administration will deliver on its promises.

LMAX Digital metrics
Price performance
last 30 days avg. vs USD (%)
Total volumes
last 30 days ($bn)
BTCUSD volumes
last 30 days ($bn)
BTCUSD avg. trade size
last 30 days ($k)
ETHUSD avg. trade size
last 30 days ($k)
Average daily range
BTCUSD
$2540
ETHUSD
$134
Tweets Social media

@MartyBent
Bitcoin already does more transfers than Fedwire and is well on its way to settling more value within the next decade.

@TheBlock__
a16z crypto says tokens will likely be ‘legitimate and lawful’ under new regulations.

Crypto Bulletin sign-up
Subscribe