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FX & Crypto Insights – Institutional thought leadership

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24 February 2026
The interesting thing about bitcoin’s weekly RSI
LMAX Digital performance

LMAX Digital volumes got off to a solid start this week. Total notional volume for Monday came in at $372 million, 3% above 30-day average volume.

Bitcoin volume printed $176 million, 9% below 30-day average volume. Ether volume came in at $107 million, 27% above 30-day average volume.

Looking at average position size over the past 30 days, we’re seeing average bitcoin position size at $7,119 and average position size for ether at $2,848.

Volatility has been trending back down to yearly low levels. We’re looking at average daily ranges in bitcoin and ether of $3,095 and $121 respectively.

Latest industry news

Crypto markets remain under pressure into Tuesday, with bitcoin extending its pullback toward the February low and continuing to act as the primary barometer for digital asset sentiment.

The negative tone reflects a combination of macro-driven risk aversion, ongoing deleveraging, and defensive positioning as the new week gets underway.

Recent downside momentum appears closely linked to persistent macro headwinds, including elevated sovereign yields, a firm U.S. dollar, and lingering geopolitical and trade uncertainty, all of which have weighed on risk-oriented assets.

Crypto’s growing integration into traditional financial markets has increased its sensitivity to these external forces, particularly as institutional participation continues to expand.

However, despite the near-term weakness, the underlying fundamental outlook remains encouraging. Institutional adoption continues to advance, with major banks and financial firms deepening their involvement in digital assets and infrastructure.

Expectations for further regulatory clarity should also help reduce uncertainty and unlock additional pools of capital.

This trend supports the view that the current pullback reflects a cyclical correction within a longer-term structural growth trajectory rather than a breakdown in the adoption story.

Technical and sentiment indicators further suggest the market may be entering a late-stage capitulation phase. The crypto fear and greed index has fallen into extreme fear territory, a condition historically associated with exhaustion in selling pressure.

In parallel, bitcoin’s weekly RSI has reached deeply oversold levels, matching readings last seen at the 2022 cycle trough.

Taken together, these signals indicate the market may be approaching conditions consistent with a durable base, which would eventually support renewed inflows into bitcoin, ETH, and the wider digital asset space.

Looking ahead, near-term direction will continue to depend on macro developments, particularly interest rate expectations, dollar strength, and overall financial conditions.

Even so, with sentiment depressed, positioning significantly reduced, and long-term adoption trends intact, the bigger picture outlook remains constructive.

 
LMAX Digital metrics
Price performance
last 30 days avg. vs USD (%)
Total volumes
last 30 days ($bn)
BTCUSD volumes
last 30 days ($bn)
BTCUSD avg. trade size
last 30 days ($k)
ETHUSD avg. trade size
last 30 days ($k)
Average daily range
BTCUSD
$3,095
ETHUSD
$121
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