|
||
| 8th January 2026 | view in browser | ||
| The elephant might not be that large — crypto thoughts | ||
|
Optimism remains abundant as the year gets underway, driven by growing excitement around bitcoin and the broader crypto complex amid continued signs of institutional adoption and regulatory progress. But the market has now encountered its first meaningful test. |
||
|
||
| 8th January 2026 | view in browser | ||
| Markets adjust to a new balance | ||
|
Looking back on 2025, the performance of assets against the U.S. dollar reflects a year of macroeconomic adjustment rather than outright disruption. |
||
|
||
| 8th January 2026 | view in browser | ||
| FOMC decision preview | ||
|
As markets head into today’s FOMC decision, the consensus expectation is for the Federal Reserve to deliver a 25bp rate cut, an outcome that is largely priced in. As a result, the policy move itself is unlikely to drive sustained market reaction unless accompanied by a meaningful shift in messaging. |
||
|
||
| 8th January 2026 | view in browser | ||
| Bitcoin: A case of confidence and patience | ||
|
As we continue to emphasize, any bouts of weakness in the crypto market still look very much like pullbacks within a broader and highly constructive medium and longer term uptrend. |
||
|
||
| 8th January 2026 | view in browser | ||
| FOMC decision preview | ||
|
Attention now turns to the upcoming FOMC decision, where markets have already priced in a rate cut for October and anticipate another move before year-end. |
||
|
||
| 8th January 2026 | view in browser | ||
| Gold’s glitter may be too bright | ||
|
Gold’s spectacular surge beyond the $4,000 mark underscores a growing investor preference for the metal over the dollar, bolstered by expectations of further U.S. rate cuts and a Trump administration inclined toward a weaker currency. That said, we believe the time has come to be on guard for a meaningful short-term reversal. |
||
|
||
| 8th January 2026 | view in browser | ||
| Why the yen selling may have overshot realities | ||
|
The yen has been under intense pressure in recent days, first on the back of the japan election result and then exacerbated by broad-based dollar demand as risk-off flows dominated global markets. However, with USDJPY surging, positioning now looks stretched. After all, the broader dollar downtrend remains intact, and we think the market may have overdone the aggressiveness of its yen sell-off. |
||
|
||
| 8th January 2026 | view in browser | ||
| ECB decision preview and Euro outlook | ||
|
The European Central Bank is widely expected to hold rates steady at today’s meeting, with markets already having priced in a long pause on the back of resilient euro-area growth and inflation near target. |
||
|
||
| 8th January 2026 | view in browser | ||
| FOMC decision preview | ||
|
The Federal Reserve is expected to keep rates steady at today’s meeting, constrained by tariff-driven inflation, geopolitical risks, and mixed economic data. The big focus will be on the dot plot and whether or not we see any hawkish tweaks. |
||
|
||
| 8th January 2026 | view in browser | ||
| FOMC decision preview | ||
|
Today’s FOMC meeting will draw plenty of attention, as persistent inflation, robust April payrolls, and a positive ISM Services report suggest the Fed will likely resist President Trump’s pressure and hold rates steady. |
||

