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Fed Minutes Preview
December’s FOMC decision was a controversial one. Despite intense risk liquidation and instability in the fourth quarter, the Fed failed to live down to market calls for a dovish hike, in response to this downside risk, instead maintaining what could have been viewed as stubborn rigidity. Audio update Tags #Fed #FOMC #FX
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Why investors are praying for an awful jobs report
We’re off to a wild start in 2019, highlighted by this week’s flash crash in USDJPY and the market will now look to take in the always anticipated US monthly employment report. In light of the intense liquidation in risk assets, we’re right back into that situation where investors are looking at good news as […]
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US Dollar Outlook 2019
We hold a bearish outlook for the US Dollar in 2019, with a particular focus on US Dollar weakness against the major currencies. We believe political drama will ramp up, stocks will remain under pressure and the Fed will be forced to consider a full pause on rate hikes. Audio update Tags #global
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BOE Decision – Thoughts and Insights
The Bank of England is out with its final policy decision of the year and the market will be watching to see what comes of the event. While we wouldn’t rule out volatility in the aftermath of the decision, there isn’t a whole lot Governor Carney will be able to do, with Brexit uncertainty continuing […]
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Fed Decision – Thoughts and Insights
We head into this final Fed decision of the year with tension running high as US equities falter and global sentiment deteriorates. All of this makes for what could be an interesting decision that sets the tone for a different kind of outlook into 2019. Audio update Tags #Fed #FOMC #FX
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Bitcoin Overview and Outlook 2019
Our 2019 outlook for Bitcoin is far more constructive than what we had been projecting for 2018. Looking back, as 2017 came to a close, we warned Bitcoin had rocketed past the point of rational appreciation, highlighting massive downside risk in a bubbling market with far too many holes. Audio update Tags #crypto #bitcoin
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ECB Decision Preview
The European Central Bank is out with its latest decision in just a bit and the market will be watching to see what comes of the event risk. On the whole, given the bigger picture themes in markets right now and given the ECB’s adjustment to the policy outlook earlier this year, we don’t expect […]
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GBPUSD and the Next Levels of Support
Last week, the Pound squeaked out a fresh 2018 low against the US Dollar below the August low, before quickly bouncing. But with the Pound now making a clear break below 1.2660, extending the 2018 run of declines, we thought it would be important to highlight the next key levels to watch below. Audio update […]
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US Jobs Report Preview
It’s the first Friday of the month and with it comes the monthly employment report out of the US. We’ve spent a lot of time over the past year talking about why this report has lost a lot of the market moving influence it once had, and this continues to be the case for today’s […]
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Fed Minutes Insights
Later today, we’ll get a look at the Fed Minutes. The market will be wanting to parse through the release to see if the language is showing consistency with what has been a different kind of message coming out in Fed speak in the lead up to the release. Audio update Tags #Fed #FOMC #FX
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