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FX & Crypto Insights – Institutional thought leadership

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23 July 2026
Why crypto doesn’t hinge on the CLARITY Act
 
 
LMAX Digital performance
 
 

LMAX Digital volumes have been soft this week on account of low volatility and thin summer conditions. Total notional volume for Wednesday came in at $155 million, 42% below 30-day average volume.

Bitcoin volume printed $86 million, 52% below 30-day average volume. Ether volume came in at $22 million, 46% below 30-day average volume.

Looking at average position size over the past 30 days, we’re seeing average bitcoin position size at $7,869 and average position size for ether at $1,944.

Volatility remains subdued and continues to track at multi-month lows. We’re looking at average daily ranges in bitcoin and ether of $1,689 and $64 respectively.

 
Latest industry news
 
 

The recent market conversation has become heavily centered on the CLARITY Act, with a growing narrative that the future of the digital asset space somehow hinges on whether the legislation is passed. We believe that view has become overstated.

There is no question that the CLARITY Act would be a meaningful positive. A comprehensive regulatory framework would remove a significant layer of uncertainty, providing the confidence many institutions have been waiting for before committing more aggressively to the space.

Clear rules would almost certainly accelerate the next wave of institutional adoption and further validate crypto as a permanent part of the global financial system.

At the same time, we do not believe the industry’s long-term trajectory depends on a single piece of legislation. Crypto’s value proposition extends far beyond regulation.

It represents a fundamentally better financial infrastructure—one that is faster, cheaper, more transparent, more liquid, globally accessible, and operates around the clock. Those advantages do not disappear if one bill is delayed.

We continue to believe there is a healthy chance the CLARITY Act is ultimately passed this year. But even if it is not, we remain confident that regulatory clarity will arrive through one avenue or another.

The political momentum behind digital assets has shifted materially, and there is now broad recognition across government that a lasting framework is necessary. Whether that framework comes through the CLARITY Act or alternative legislation is, in our view, ultimately less important than the fact that it is increasingly inevitable.

History also supports this perspective. Crypto has survived—and in many ways flourished—for well over a decade without comprehensive US regulatory clarity.

The industry’s growth has been driven by technological innovation, expanding use cases, and steadily increasing adoption rather than legislation alone.

Perhaps the strongest evidence comes from the institutions themselves. Firms such as JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Citigroup, BlackRock, Fidelity, Franklin Templeton, Invesco, BNY, and many others have spent years building products, infrastructure and digital asset capabilities.

These are not organizations that make strategic investments with a one-quarter time horizon. They are committing capital, talent and resources because they believe digital assets will become an enduring component of global finance. That commitment should provide investors with far more reassurance than any single legislative milestone.

For that reason, while passage of the CLARITY Act would likely be supportive for sentiment and prices, we are less convinced it should be viewed as the catalyst for an explosive move higher.

The legislation has been debated extensively, expectations have steadily built, and much of the optimism appears to have already been reflected in market positioning. As a result, we would not be surprised if the market reaction ultimately proves more measured than many currently anticipate, regardless of the outcome.

More broadly, we continue to believe the crypto market remains in the process of carving out its next major cyclical low.

The excesses of the previous cycle have largely been flushed from the system, speculative froth has diminished, and the industry has emerged leaner, stronger and more focused on solving real-world problems. We view this reset as constructive rather than concerning.

Importantly, the recent correction has also allowed digital assets to increasingly demonstrate their ability to stand on their own merits rather than simply trade as a high-beta extension of equities.

As institutional portfolios continue to search for differentiated sources of return and diversification, crypto’s unique characteristics become increasingly compelling.

One of the clearest examples of this maturation is the accelerating migration of real-world assets onto blockchain networks. From money market funds and Treasuries to private credit and other traditional financial instruments, tokenization continues to gather momentum because the underlying economics are simply too compelling to ignore.

A financial system that is faster, more efficient, more transparent, continuously available and globally interoperable is not just an attractive vision—it is a practical improvement over today’s infrastructure.

That is why our long-term conviction remains unchanged. Regulatory clarity will undoubtedly help accelerate adoption, but it is not what ultimately determines crypto’s future.

The technology, the institutional commitment and the economic advantages are already firmly in place. Regulation can speed up the journey, but it is unlikely to change the destination.

 
 
LMAX Digital metrics
Price performance
last 30 days avg. vs USD (%)
Total volumes
last 30 days ($bn)
BTCUSD volumes
last 30 days ($bn)
BTCUSD avg. trade size
last 30 days ($k)
ETHUSD avg. trade size
last 30 days ($k)
Average daily range
BTCUSD
$1,689
ETHUSD
$64
Tweets Social media

@BitcoinMagazine
Public companies now hold 1.28 million BTC, equivalent to 6.11% of the total supply.

@Cointelegraph
Tokenized equities are exploding onchain.

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