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Daily Reports

Next 24 hours: Traders point to dovish Fed speak to reconcile price action

Today’s report: How much are investors ignoring the signs?

There is every sense right now that the market is doing its very best to hold off on reacting too much to recent economic data out of the US that would suggest the Fed should be considering less rate cuts in 2024 than what is currently being priced.   read report

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Wake-up call

Next 24 hours: US Dollar not as strong as expected

Today’s report: Financial markets hold up well all things considered

We have to say; it’s been rather surprising to see markets behaving as they are in the aftermath of Friday’s US jobs report. The monthly employment report came in much stronger than expected, accompanied by an hourly earnings print that was just a little higher than forecast.   read report

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Wake-up call

Counterintuitive price action

Special report: US jobs report preview and market impact

Today’s report: Counterintuitive price action

Currency and equity markets are finally back in sync into Thursday, though at the same time, they appear to be in sync but also moving in a counterintuitive direction. Everything we’ve seen of late has been supporting the case for less rate cuts than more in 2024.   read report

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Wake-up call

Currencies and stocks out of sync

Next 24 hours: US ADP employment data stand out

Today’s report: Currencies and stocks out of sync

We’ve been in this weird period of trading where currencies and stocks are out of sync with one another. Key standouts on Wednesday’s calendar come from Eurozone inflation, US ADP employment, Canada PMI reads, US ISM services PMIs, and Fed speak.   read report

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Wake-up call

Next 24 hours: Currencies recover, US equity futures head south

Today’s report: Are US equities at risk for bearish reversal?

US economic data continues to come in on the stronger side and market rate odds for a June cut at the Fed have dipped below 60%, which is the lowest June odds print for the year. The currency market has responded as one would expect, with the US Dollar well in demand across the board.   read report

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Wake-up call

Today’s report: Thinner trading conditions expected on Good Friday

Trading conditions on this Friday will be thinner on account of many market participants being off the desks for the Good Friday holiday. Key standouts on Friday’s calendar come from US core PCE, personal income, personal spending, the goods trade balance, wholesale inventories, and a Fed Powell speech.   read report

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Wake-up call

Today’s report: Reconciling the disconnect between the Dollar and stocks

As we come into the end of the week, the US Dollar is finding its way back, all while US equities track at record highs. More often than not, a rallying Dollar and soaring equities don’t go hand in hand. And yet, this is what we’ve been seeing. So how can the price action be reconciled?   read report

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Wake-up call

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